Market · 4 of 12 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Gabriele Piraino, 3 on Felix Gill. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lsiflsliggjriek0x4f53…67d3 | Felix Gill | 205,247 | 82.5¢ | $205K | New5 settled bets |
| kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c | Felix Gill | 48,945 | 92.1¢ | $48.9K | New33 settled bets |
| 0x351f…b0d8 | Felix Gill | 8,774 | 85.5¢ | $8.77K | — |
| UpTheBlues0x2a69…d2f7 | Felix Gill | 6,779 | 89.4¢ | $6.78K | Positive+$4.00 per $100 · 186,123 bets |
| calamansidios0x8606…db26 | Felix Gill | 5,000 | 65.9¢ | $5K | New74 settled bets |
| 0x18b0…2082 | Felix Gill | 2,580 | 85.2¢ | $2.58K | — |
| c4acap0x14f1…4a46 | Felix Gill | 2,554 | 99.9¢ | $2.55K | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 2,743 bets |
| sentrio0xdb83…1e50 | Felix Gill | 1,115 | 92.0¢ | $1.11K | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 71,177+ bets · updating |
| wiskundeman170xd399…2d2c | Felix Gill | 1,100 | 89.5¢ | $1.1K | — |
| thestingsnake0xeea3…a6a2 | Felix Gill | 1,092 | 91.9¢ | $1.09K | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 14,538 bets |
| tradecraft0xde9f…d43c | Felix Gill | 989 | 91.4¢ | $988 | Proven+$2.72 per $100 · 21,625 bets |
| omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c | Felix Gill | 905 | 91.1¢ | $905 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 57,017 bets |
| wzyzj0xba7b…6370 | Felix Gill | 400 | 97.5¢ | $400 | — |
| NeforFromRugsterdam0x76d4…3ad4 | Felix Gill | 333 | 74.0¢ | $333 | — |
| VD721lsj4938Dk3880x162c…6c47 | Felix Gill | 317 | 75.9¢ | $317 | Proven+$10.81 per $100 · 3,323 bets |
| 0x5d23…9517 | Felix Gill | 303 | 82.9¢ | $303 | — |
| 0xaeda…43e3 | Felix Gill | 241 | 84.1¢ | $241 | — |
| lohon.advanture0x9694…b7ad | Felix Gill | 231 | 66.1¢ | $231 | — |
| jerocotella0x99f4…6e5d | Felix Gill | 200 | 82.7¢ | $200 | — |
| FabFi0xf44c…14c7 | Felix Gill | 183 | 66.1¢ | $183 | — |
| superlarry0x339a…6a00 | Felix Gill | 178 | 67.1¢ | $178 | — |
| BillBenter20260x84ad…bfb7 | Felix Gill | 157 | 68.0¢ | $157 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 60,611+ bets · updating |
| 0xc8d9…df36 | Felix Gill | 147 | 69.0¢ | $147 | — |
| 0xbfd7…f0bf | Felix Gill | 130 | 73.6¢ | $130 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 58,650+ bets · updating |
| u289260xe682…a082 | Felix Gill | 112 | 89.5¢ | $112 | Positive+$1.00 per $100 · 430 bets |
| Nmae0x1556…6504 | Felix Gill | 92 | 86.1¢ | $92 | — |
| YjNKcGIyNHlNeTU0ZVhv0x4ecf…6c47 | Felix Gill | 90 | 83.7¢ | $90 | — |
| GameSetMatched0x70ac…0c7d | Felix Gill | 88 | 90.9¢ | $88 | — |
| 0xd863…b7e2 | Felix Gill | 82 | 91.6¢ | $82 | — |
| Eulhunter0x98db…dd17 | Felix Gill | 73 | 90.5¢ | $73 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 24,466 bets |
| ddd1410xfa68…ba5d | Felix Gill | 70 | 61.0¢ | $70 | — |
| cthtest0xaadb…8de6 | Felix Gill | 66 | 92.1¢ | $66 | — |
| 0x374d…1263 | Felix Gill | 54 | 92.4¢ | $54 | Break-even−$0.77 per $100 · 241 bets |
| ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319 | Gabriele Piraino | 105,687 | 16.5¢ | $53 | Positive+$4.28 per $100 · 109,004 bets |
| lesseee0xd7d0…681e | Felix Gill | 51 | 68.1¢ | $51 | — |
| StupidGamble0xec6d…5050 | Felix Gill | 50 | 70.1¢ | $50 | — |
| 0x5197…6e04 | Felix Gill | 45 | 99.2¢ | $45 | — |
| 0x6ac3…3c8b | Felix Gill | 41 | 97.8¢ | $41 | — |
| 0xb937…9093 | Felix Gill | 34 | 92.1¢ | $34 | — |
| Pan9X0x3ca9…424a | Felix Gill | 31 | 60.4¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 64,078+ bets · updating |
| UlamTriX0xa509…ae46 | Felix Gill | 25 | 91.8¢ | $25 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 59,396+ bets · updating |
| RN10x2005…75ea | Gabriele Piraino | 41,754 | 18.6¢ | $21 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 256,055 bets |
| 0x32b4…8b21 | Gabriele Piraino | 34,522 | 16.3¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 18,140 bets |
| CandleHammerDrums0x7c1e…bab3 | Gabriele Piraino | 17,859 | 14.1¢ | $9 | Proven+$8.80 per $100 · 22,662 bets |
| alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99 | Gabriele Piraino | 17,067 | 8.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 66,345 bets |
| 65123953145978840x796f…00f6 | Gabriele Piraino | 15,480 | 10.4¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 8,468 bets |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Gabriele Piraino | 9,255 | 7.6¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 33,698 bets |
| efntrick0x365f…706a | Gabriele Piraino | 4,500 | 19.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 12,531 bets |
| 0xe911…3d4e | Gabriele Piraino | 3,571 | 9.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.97 per $100 · 58,705+ bets · updating |
| 0xa697…59d5 | Gabriele Piraino | 3,021 | 34.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 46,326 bets |
| TRCM0x42c9…9623 | Gabriele Piraino | 2,869 | 9.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.02 per $100 · 13,550 bets |
| 0xd9e0…05f2 | Gabriele Piraino | 2,818 | 16.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.83 per $100 · 52,489 bets |
| Flaznorp0x821d…cf16 | Gabriele Piraino | 2,583 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 155,914+ bets · updating |
| Lilybaeum0x01c7…e995 | Gabriele Piraino | 1,804 | 26.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 49,933 bets |
| smithagent0x1d1d…f2df | Gabriele Piraino | 1,666 | 8.6¢ | $1 | — |
| rugmoney0xa24e…1be8 | Gabriele Piraino | 1,633 | 11.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.08 per $100 · 10,701 bets |
| mouzsynapse0xa6de…256c | Gabriele Piraino | 1,631 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| poshposh0xc4fe…601f | Gabriele Piraino | 1,438 | 8.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 79,048+ bets · updating |
| SchruteBucks0x0f17…0724 | Gabriele Piraino | 1,179 | 9.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 4,217 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Gabriele Piraino | 1,141 | 26.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,308 bets |
| 6figurengga0x689f…259c | Gabriele Piraino | 1,037 | 28.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$12.17 per $100 · 1,645 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Gabriele Piraino | 979 | 10.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| echotrader0x5f56…348a | Gabriele Piraino | 788 | 8.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.26 per $100 · 11,082 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Gabriele Piraino | 783 | 4.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| ojg0x0f76…dcc9 | Gabriele Piraino | 721 | 9.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Mother-Teresa0xfea6…b795 | Gabriele Piraino | 704 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 300PS0x8f41…260e | Gabriele Piraino | 688 | 36.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 4,600 bets |
| Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14 | Gabriele Piraino | 655 | 34.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 2,434 bets |
| Rishiram0x901b…59ef | Gabriele Piraino | 625 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Juan123456780x0267…7f7e | Gabriele Piraino | 600 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| clownly0x7547…d158 | Gabriele Piraino | 600 | 36.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hobo690xe54d…fdec | Gabriele Piraino | 600 | 40.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x99f0…9495 | Gabriele Piraino | 562 | 29.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 35,659 bets |
| LeLynxMalynx0x200f…7a96 | Gabriele Piraino | 548 | 27.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 58,311+ bets · updating |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Gabriele Piraino | 500 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95 | Gabriele Piraino | 500 | 9.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.98 per $100 · 35,437 bets |
| ShoveIsAllYouNeed0xb550…2799 | Gabriele Piraino | 476 | 21.8¢ | $0 | — |
| chliu0xc98f…a13f | Gabriele Piraino | 420 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| bgpowerx110x73e5…e3d8 | Gabriele Piraino | 400 | 26.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 1,863 bets |
| 0xbb30…d895 | Gabriele Piraino | 375 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| zilijen0xcd5e…7b83 | Gabriele Piraino | 375 | 16.7¢ | $0 | — |
| UNEB3154s4f2510x0464…67da | Gabriele Piraino | 330 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Gabriele Piraino | 300 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| InAirdropWeTrust0xd3e7…bf64 | Gabriele Piraino | 283 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.45 per $100 · 20,860 bets |
| TheRomanProcurator0x3e1a…4d5c | Gabriele Piraino | 277 | 16.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 13,728 bets |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | Gabriele Piraino | 260 | 8.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 6,540 bets |
| lomatic0x5c18…2f76 | Gabriele Piraino | 257 | 10.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.27 per $100 · 24,215 bets |
| 0x92c8…45f6 | Gabriele Piraino | 251 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 1lovejump0xffb9…390a | Gabriele Piraino | 43 | 11.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0alpha0x7d9a…05e6 | Gabriele Piraino | 36 | 19.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.01 per $100 · 11,030 bets |
Shares = Gabriele Piraino minus Felix Gill for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.