Market · 1 of 17 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Daniil Medvedev, 1 on Stefanos Tsitsipas. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| madkkee0xd27c…c081 | Daniil Medvedev | 22,000 | 69.0¢ | $14.8K | Losing−$3.87 per $100 · 1,900 bets |
| 0xbc43…96d3 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 12,288 | 32.1¢ | $3.99K | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 774 bets |
| rplc-ftbl0xac4c…2200 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 4,844 | 32.1¢ | $1.57K | — |
| ic4cream0x27f7…44b0 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 3,868 | 32.1¢ | $1.26K | Positive+$1.97 per $100 · 5,749 bets |
| TakintheL0x95c5…d5d3 | Daniil Medvedev | 441 | 69.1¢ | $298 | — |
| koeloer93130x95a0…ef56 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 624 | 32.1¢ | $203 | — |
| Veetu12340x6888…4c79 | Daniil Medvedev | 300 | 69.1¢ | $203 | — |
| clownly0x7547…d158 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 600 | 32.0¢ | $195 | — |
| cooljit0xa917…4e8d | Daniil Medvedev | 275 | 68.5¢ | $186 | — |
| pokoleno0xe4dc…338a | Daniil Medvedev | 248 | 68.4¢ | $168 | — |
| capitalpiston20x5e02…b178 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 318 | 31.0¢ | $103 | Proven+$3.24 per $100 · 7,170 bets |
| paulaoofc0xa772…8686 | Daniil Medvedev | 141 | 71.0¢ | $95 | — |
| LeLynxMalynx0x200f…7a96 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 146 | 30.5¢ | $47 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 58,311+ bets · updating |
| lbtrading0xa6db…3155 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 139 | 33.0¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 30,044+ bets · updating |
| dallybaby0xcfb0…1f12 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 138 | 31.1¢ | $45 | — |
| GC-P0x2d6a…8add | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 129 | 32.0¢ | $42 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 62,276 bets |
| dacthenuac0x10ff…ff77 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 117 | 31.6¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x8f6c…bec1 | Daniil Medvedev | 56 | 69.1¢ | $38 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Daniil Medvedev | 48 | 69.1¢ | $32 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| MeistersApprenticeship0xdc4f…9804 | Daniil Medvedev | 47 | 65.3¢ | $32 | — |
| 0xe13c…1159 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 87 | 35.7¢ | $28 | — |
| Awendt9130xa415…6fb9 | Daniil Medvedev | 40 | 69.1¢ | $27 | — |
| sha123450x9d8c…2799 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 77 | 32.1¢ | $25 | — |
| Cavernicolo0xeed3…039b | Daniil Medvedev | 25 | 66.2¢ | $17 | — |
| scherahmeda0x35eb…157d | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 48 | 32.1¢ | $16 | — |
| barabarabara0xa4de…672a | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 32 | 32.1¢ | $10 | — |
| nobody14010x2398…a279 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 26 | 32.1¢ | $8 | — |
| FraneSelak0x35e7…8331 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 25 | 32.0¢ | $8 | — |
| jmp1230x147c…2540 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 24 | 32.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 22,745 bets |
| ggrrb0x9a01…24d0 | Daniil Medvedev | 10 | 50.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$8.14 per $100 · 456 bets |
| moneypoli0xf2da…9385 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 20 | 34.1¢ | $7 | — |
| UNEB3154s4f2510x0464…67da | Daniil Medvedev | 9 | 66.1¢ | $6 | — |
| Gondolala0xf339…fc0c | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 17 | 32.1¢ | $6 | — |
| Crag20250xa6cd…f008 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 15 | 34.1¢ | $5 | — |
| larame0x56f1…0f8c | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 12 | 35.1¢ | $4 | — |
| hjsafas0x59f3…da3d | Daniil Medvedev | 5 | 69.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.65 per $100 · 314 bets |
| Tennism0xf2f1…3ed7 | Daniil Medvedev | 5 | 65.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xfeb3…8839 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 10 | 51.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5db9…190e | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6 | 32.1¢ | $2 | — |
| mymilly0xf393…9f39 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6 | 30.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5814…229a | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 5 | 32.0¢ | $2 | — |
| filsdeup0x59ad…b275 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 5 | 33.0¢ | $2 | — |
| sweise0xb8f6…4f7f | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 5 | 30.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7d5…6b08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 5 | 34.0¢ | $2 | — |
| TennisUnder0xe5a2…5f4c | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 5 | 32.0¢ | $2 | — |
| degenerativnoe-tennis0x2aee…5ec6 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 5 | 30.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 4 | 32.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Theskaya0xf1c2…5742 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 3 | 32.1¢ | $1 | — |
| CybertronCapital0x036a…4d10 | Daniil Medvedev | 1 | 69.1¢ | $1 | — |
| zaberstar0xceb9…e95e | Daniil Medvedev | 1 | 71.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Daniil Medvedev minus Stefanos Tsitsipas for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.