Market · 3 of 16 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
4 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| clownly0x7547…d158 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 115 | 47.0¢ | $55 | — |
| Stark220x0cb1…5286 | Hubert Hurkacz | 100 | 54.2¢ | $52 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 1,060 bets |
| Flaznorp0x821d…cf16 | Hubert Hurkacz | 31 | 51.0¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 155,914+ bets · updating |
| jmp1230x147c…2540 | Hubert Hurkacz | 25 | 52.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 22,745 bets |
| paulaoofc0xa772…8686 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 23 | 49.2¢ | $11 | — |
| oracle910xbebf…9bae | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 20 | 50.2¢ | $10 | — |
Shares = Hubert Hurkacz minus Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.