Market · 15 of 16 outcomes
Set Handicap: Jakub Mensik (-1.5) vs Arthur Gea (+1.5)
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Jakub Mensik, 0 on Arthur Gea. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| geraldo7770xe53b…a526 | Arthur Gea | 1,500 | 64.1¢ | $923 | — |
| 0x5b62…d87f | Jakub Mensik | 572 | 37.0¢ | $220 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 12,985 bets |
| BejingOlympics0x1f64…3633 | Jakub Mensik | 405 | 37.0¢ | $156 | — |
| rayvanmechelen0xcc37…c4ea | Jakub Mensik | 318 | 37.0¢ | $122 | Proven+$5.63 per $100 · 2,339 bets |
| Nockyimmortal0xaa92…3bbb | Jakub Mensik | 145 | 39.8¢ | $56 | — |
| Pestusko0xc470…c792 | Jakub Mensik | 103 | 40.2¢ | $39 | — |
| 0x56c2…1b44 | Arthur Gea | 48 | 50.0¢ | $30 | — |
| obedm0x5159…736d | Arthur Gea | 43 | 62.2¢ | $26 | — |
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | Arthur Gea | 32 | 60.0¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 131,761 bets |
| 0x5c54…f1d2 | Jakub Mensik | 48 | 50.0¢ | $19 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 18,197 bets |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | Jakub Mensik | 48 | 41.2¢ | $18 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 32,558 bets |
| Pbtennis0x3dbb…a5f9 | Arthur Gea | 16 | 63.2¢ | $10 | — |
| mscjava0x341d…2995 | Arthur Gea | 6 | 63.0¢ | $4 | — |
| lbtrading0xa6db…3155 | Jakub Mensik | 6 | 38.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 30,044+ bets · updating |
| ameisgoat110x2da3…f258 | Jakub Mensik | 2 | 39.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 42,480 bets |
| user00000000x9ffa…864c | Arthur Gea | 1 | 62.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.47 per $100 · 3,565 bets |
Shares = Jakub Mensik minus Arthur Gea for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.