Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NotJump0xf1f2…8c8d | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 50,052 bets |
| RN10x2005…75ea | Joaquin Aguilar | 18,074 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 257,042 bets |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Joaquin Aguilar | 7,138 | 2.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.37 per $100 · 34,149 bets |
| ghostorder0x55b9…a814 | Joaquin Aguilar | 3,500 | 6.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.17 per $100 · 8,231 bets |
| 0xd9e0…05f2 | Joaquin Aguilar | 2,628 | 7.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.83 per $100 · 52,653 bets |
| poshposh0xc4fe…601f | Joaquin Aguilar | 1,950 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 95,726 bets |
| qwewrasdzxffdfzvdfgdzhfdh0xd6df…1f11 | Joaquin Aguilar | 1,581 | 18.7¢ | $0 | — |
| chliu0xc98f…a13f | Joaquin Aguilar | 1,440 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dom910x4d4d…b801 | Joaquin Aguilar | 1,377 | 52.7¢ | $0 | — |
| RebornAthena0x081e…f76e | Joaquin Aguilar | 1,176 | 52.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.42 per $100 · 5,843 bets |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | Joaquin Aguilar | 1,112 | 2.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 6,573 bets |
| topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95 | Joaquin Aguilar | 1,030 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.72 per $100 · 36,357 bets |
| zoroelnino0xbc16…b530 | Joaquin Aguilar | 637 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.27 per $100 · 959 bets |
| 0x19fe…e71a | Joaquin Aguilar | 501 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rugmoney0xa24e…1be8 | Joaquin Aguilar | 500 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,953 bets |
| omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c | Joaquin Aguilar | 417 | 57.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.28 per $100 · 57,461 bets |
| youcanbuythisbot0xfe67…a2e8 | Joaquin Aguilar | 366 | 2.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,710 bets |
| 1MillionInc0xe026…f409 | Joaquin Aguilar | 350 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.36 per $100 · 11,006 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Joaquin Aguilar | 250 | 3.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,075 bets |
| stkomeghivott0x42a1…a8e9 | Joaquin Aguilar | 200 | 2.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.92 per $100 · 21,661 bets |
| Quanttennis0x571f…1d37 | Joaquin Aguilar | 154 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Joaquin Aguilar | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| sentrio0xdb83…1e50 | Joaquin Aguilar | 126 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 78,733 bets |
| 0xc1d7…47a4 | Joaquin Aguilar | 107 | 46.5¢ | $0 | — |
| GabriiBR0x11bc…9e66 | Joaquin Aguilar | 104 | 49.2¢ | $0 | — |
| arahbo0x9ab3…3044 | Joaquin Aguilar | 100 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Joaquin Aguilar | 87 | 60.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| jzzck1120x125a…df71 | Joaquin Aguilar | 86 | 20.8¢ | $0 | — |
| MackTron0xcbf3…80ab | Joaquin Aguilar | 80 | 56.2¢ | $0 | — |
| xgabriel70xf1ae…9003 | Joaquin Aguilar | 72 | 56.2¢ | $0 | — |
| nuxxor40x899d…64e2 | Joaquin Aguilar | 62 | 47.3¢ | $0 | — |
| yuiui10250x70bb…10d3 | Joaquin Aguilar | 60 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x78fe…df2f | Joaquin Aguilar | 56 | 50.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 203 bets |
| Snilly0xa234…ff78 | Joaquin Aguilar | 40 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa3c2…df3d | Joaquin Aguilar | 37 | 42.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 56,029 bets |
| PastForward0x787d…78ff | Joaquin Aguilar | 33 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| dallybaby0xcfb0…1f12 | Joaquin Aguilar | 32 | 56.2¢ | $0 | — |
| DZ0020xfc52…d693 | Joaquin Aguilar | 29 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| noclevername0xef67…c87e | Joaquin Aguilar | 27 | 48.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbf35…6723 | Joaquin Aguilar | 26 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| babybells0x6d49…e00a | Joaquin Aguilar | 25 | 15.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 7,545 bets |
| d3c0y190x4148…904e | Joaquin Aguilar | 22 | 20.8¢ | $0 | — |
| jackccstream0x3f34…ed6a | Joaquin Aguilar | 20 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| jksdnf0xb6bf…c1c1 | Joaquin Aguilar | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 474 bets |
| scofield20x0f6a…5e1d | Joaquin Aguilar | 18 | 56.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$25.72 per $100 · 237 bets |
| -Prediqa0xfc24…d399 | Joaquin Aguilar | 18 | 58.0¢ | $0 | — |
| koikiok0x3404…10d2 | Joaquin Aguilar | 15 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| carelia0x3da8…be26 | Joaquin Aguilar | 11 | 48.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.78 per $100 · 14,409 bets |
| xbqzgkvmnm0xa6af…01fa | Joaquin Aguilar | 7 | 54.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Joaquin Aguilar | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| UNEB3154s4f2510x0464…67da | Joaquin Aguilar | 5 | 54.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 11,110 bets |
Shares = Joaquin Aguilar minus Felipe Meligeni Alves for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.