Market · 7 of 29 outcomes
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf287…14f0 | No | 635 | 78.7¢ | $612 | — |
| PCMTest0x51b1…7865 | No | 403 | 80.4¢ | $389 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 399 |
| 75.6¢ |
| $385 |
| Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| StanleyGao0x2818…5369 | No | 385 | 78.0¢ | $372 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 331 | 74.5¢ | $320 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| littlebird0x202b…971a | No | 305 | 78.7¢ | $294 | — |
| zzaqq20xd331…733c | No | 104 | 88.6¢ | $100 | Losing−$9.72 per $100 · 4,328 bets |
| 0xecf9…328a | No | 100 | 98.9¢ | $96 | — |
| gmeowcl0xd031…46b1 | No | 61 | 93.7¢ | $58 | — |
| peivon980x2e68…6898 | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $49 | — |
| mmmbop0xd555…e28a | No | 50 | 86.0¢ | $48 | — |
| JesseHo13320x4a54…db64 | No | 48 | 82.0¢ | $46 | — |
| zhyfacai0xc320…3d45 | No | 45 | 85.9¢ | $43 | Losing−$14.81 per $100 · 275 bets |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | No | 32 | 72.5¢ | $31 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
| DD9990x6c88…8570 | Yes | 855 | 22.0¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xa8f9…2573 | No | 30 | 83.2¢ | $29 | — |
| unrealjim0x7102…1a1a | Yes | 487 | 20.5¢ | $17 | — |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 16 | 76.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,108 bets |
| 0x0b72…d3f2 | No | 14 | 98.9¢ | $14 | — |
| elpredictoooor0xa27a…b546 | No | 13 | 77.0¢ | $13 | — |
| GlennGardner0x79b1…09aa | No | 10 | 83.0¢ | $9 | — |
| coser0x30bf…76f6 | No | 9 | 85.5¢ | $9 | — |
| Arbga20260xaea0…0dec | No | 9 | 84.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x86b6…9e92 | No | 8 | 78.7¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 196 | 14.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 4,762 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 173 | 0.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 167 | 17.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 157 | 3.7¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 5 | 88.6¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| JohnJJJ0x78d2…7a2b | No | 5 | 75.0¢ | $5 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 126 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Redgoldsnapper0x9837…8bf8 | Yes | 100 | 15.0¢ | $4 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 96 | 24.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| wi6andre0xbd30…fdee | No | 3 | 87.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 93 | 20.1¢ | $3 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| GreenJasper0xee45…f82e | No | 3 | 88.0¢ | $3 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 84 | 4.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ShawnX0x2d5b…de45 | No | 3 | 66.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 80 | 23.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| R21llsa0xb6a2…4b66 | No | 3 | 68.5¢ | $3 | — |
| artfulautist0xc9ba…556a | No | 2 | 39.0¢ | $2 | — |
| supguy0x5769…1a16 | No | 2 | 75.7¢ | $2 | — |
| StephanieWoods69120x2c57…c2e0 | No | 2 | 89.0¢ | $2 | — |
| exeloncorp0xe4d9…2a4e | No | 2 | 84.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x14e7…3a2a | No | 2 | 78.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 9df0x4c9e…190b | Yes | 48 | 11.9¢ | $2 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 41 | 22.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| 0xf779…d36f | Yes | 40 | 25.1¢ | $1 | — |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | No | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf609…7ad8 | Yes | 36 | 26.0¢ | $1 | — |
| jisaa0x74bd…ac31 | No | 1 | 79.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xac93…dd86 | Yes | 33 | 15.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2059…f13b | No | 1 | 85.5¢ | $1 | — |
| rat-race-harmony0xa769…c98e | Yes | 29 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420170xf16d…b7f9 | Yes | 29 | 17.1¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 27 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| HectorTaylor84560x95cc…f215 | No | 1 | 66.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LarBotPrime0x32fd…5c8b | No | 1 | 89.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 25 | 14.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 24 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | Yes | 20 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| piattella0x1150…e701 | Yes | 18 | 40.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PolCov20xc8f1…325e | Yes | 15 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AndrewAtkinson77270xa55b…857b | No | 1 | 68.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ng60000x6ffd…a637 | Yes | 13 | 13.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.39 per $100 · 7,738 bets |
| nexusoptimus0xa994…19a6 | Yes | 12 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | 8 | 13.2¢ | $0 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 8 | 34.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | Yes | 6 | 23.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf004…adaf | Yes | 5 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| HeatherRamos95010xe1d4…8cf7 | Yes | 5 | 34.0¢ | $0 | — |
| autismcapital10xefa2…2b5d | Yes | 5 | 30.0¢ | $0 | — |
| okakokak0x79c1…497d | Yes | 4 | 31.3¢ | $0 | — |
| MariaMoss39070x45ff…bab6 | Yes | 3 | 32.0¢ | $0 | — |
| W33ryn0x595d…70ae | Yes | 3 | 36.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 3 | 24.1¢ | $0 | — |
| cq-00xfd72…6cc4 | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Noonoo1230x2f52…9fba | Yes | 2 | 33.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nveritatis0x5374…952a | Yes | 2 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| thepolwinner0x3078…0389 | Yes | 2 | 34.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 30,956 bets |
| 63sdf0x601f…76ad | Yes | 1 | 37.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Inthegamespain0x8975…ffe6 | No | 0 | 77.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AndreaEwing44020x38d6…e50f | Yes | 1 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| trentk0x3b23…5e5e | Yes | 1 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | Yes | 1 | 22.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Chegildek0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | 1 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| lll9990x2754…1668 | No | 0 | 57.0¢ | $0 | — |
| EmilyHerrera16650x5784…4018 | No | 0 | 66.0¢ | $0 | — |
| MythicalScissors0x582a…7bb2 | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | — |
| UnholyScissors0x99ba…6391 | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | — |
| IrthBirth0xc092…5428 | No | 0 | 83.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| HowMuchIsTheFish0x8fc8…5709 | Yes | 0 | 22.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | 0 | 22.4¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 3 shares each side · Show
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