Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 3.3¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 14.8¢ | +12.0 pts |
| $100,000 | 49.9¢ | +47.1 pts |
| $500,000 | 81.8¢ | +79.0 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 3¢.
About $1.25K can be bought and $783 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 2.8¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 05:07 UTC.
15 traders bet this week.